Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 18:30
Hamburg
12 Full time
RB Leipzig
Hamburg 1–2 RB Leipzig

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 28%
Away 43%

💡 RB Leipzig have a slight edge — leaning RB Leipzig, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1483 v 1547 RB Leipzig rated higher
Form Index DDWWD v DLWDD Hamburg 1.8 · RB Leipzig 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hamburg v RB Leipzig

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Why we predict this

  • RB Leipzig is the stronger side on Power Rating (1547 vs 1483).
  • Hamburg is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
RB Leipzig
Form Index
Hamburg
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Hamburg

Green = favours Hamburg · Blue = favours RB Leipzig. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HamburgDDWWD1.8 ppg
RB LeipzigDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hamburg1483
RB Leipzig1547
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 29% · 35%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning23% · 40% · 38%

AI match preview

Hamburg host RB Leipzig in a tightly poised Bundesliga clash where the model gives Leipzig a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, though a draw is nearly as likely at 28%. Both teams are projected to score close to 1.3 goals each, suggesting a balanced contest potentially ending in a 1-1 draw. With a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance of both teams scoring, expect an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Hamburg 1–2 RB Leipzig
Oct 2025 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburg