Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 14:30
Wolfsburg
12 Full time
Hamburg
Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 26%
Away 35%

💡 Wolfsburg have a slight edge — leaning Wolfsburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1462 Hamburg rated higher
Form Index LLDLL v WWDLL Wolfsburg 0.2 · Hamburg 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Hamburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1462 vs 1414).
  • Hamburg is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hamburg
Form Index
Hamburg
Goal expectation
Wolfsburg
Home advantage
Wolfsburg

Green = favours Wolfsburg · Blue = favours Hamburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WolfsburgLLDLL0.2 ppg
HamburgWWDLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Wolfsburg1414
Hamburg1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 28% · 25%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning38% · 22% · 40%

AI match preview

Wolfsburg and Hamburg are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Wolfsburg at 39% versus Hamburg’s 35%, and a 26% chance of a draw. Expected goals suggest a tight game with 1.59 for the home side and 1.12 for the visitors, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open match, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Volkswagen Arena Wolfsburg, Germany Capacity 28,917 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburg
Oct 2025 Hamburg 0–1 Wolfsburg