FC Koln vs Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 17:30
FC Koln
12 Full time
Dortmund
FC Koln 1–2 Dortmund

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 25%
Away 54%

💡 Dortmund are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1433 v 1633 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index WLLDL v WWWDL FC Koln 0.8 · Dortmund 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on FC Koln v Dortmund

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1633 vs 1433).
  • Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
FC Koln

Green = favours FC Koln · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FC KolnWLLDL0.8 ppg
DortmundWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
FC Koln1433
Dortmund1633
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 24% · 52%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 58%
Machine-learning8% · 39% · 54%

AI match preview

FC Koln face a tough challenge at home against Dortmund, who hold a solid 54% probability of taking the win according to the model, with a confidence rating of 62/100. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with 1.28 for Koln and 1.97 for Dortmund, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1 indicating a closely contested match. With both teams predicted to score 63% of the time and a similar chance for over 2.5 goals, this encounter promises attacking intent but remains finely balanced—remember, these projections are statistical and to be used responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.97

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 FC Koln 1–2 Dortmund
Oct 2025 Dortmund 1–0 FC Koln