Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 16:30
Union Berlin
14 Full time
Werder Bremen
Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 28%

💡 Union Berlin are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1414 Union Berlin rated higher
Form Index LDLWL v DLLLW Union Berlin 0.8 · Werder Bremen 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Werder Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Union Berlin is the stronger side on Power Rating (1459 vs 1414).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Union Berlin
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Werder Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLDLWL0.8 ppg
Werder BremenDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1459
Werder Bremen1414
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 28% · 23%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning58% · 19% · 23%

AI match preview

Union Berlin and Werder Bremen are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 47% probability and a 52/100 confidence level. Expected goals suggest a modest edge for Union Berlin (1.59 vs. 1.01), though the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a balanced encounter. With just under half the chances for over 2.5 goals and a slim majority for both teams to score, this match could offer tight but competitive action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.01

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen
Oct 2025 Werder Bremen 1–0 Union Berlin