Hamburg vs FC Koln Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 14 Mar, 17:30
Hamburg
11 Full time
FC Koln
Hamburg 1–1 FC Koln

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 25%
Away 28%

💡 Hamburg are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1473 v 1426 Hamburg rated higher
Form Index WDLLW v LLDLL Hamburg 1.4 · FC Koln 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hamburg v FC Koln

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Why we predict this

  • Hamburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1473 vs 1426).
  • Hamburg is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hamburg
Form Index
Hamburg
Goal expectation
Hamburg
Home advantage
Hamburg

Green = favours Hamburg · Blue = favours FC Koln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HamburgWDLLW1.4 ppg
FC KolnLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hamburg1473
FC Koln1426
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 28% · 22%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning52% · 26% · 22%

AI match preview

Hamburg and FC Köln face off in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 46% chance of victory, though a draw or an away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects a competitive match with expected goals favoring Hamburg at 1.58 to 0.97, and a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With a 51% probability for both teams to score and under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals, this encounter could hinge on tight margins—remember, these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.97

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Hamburg 1–1 FC Koln
Nov 2025 FC Koln 4–1 Hamburg