Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 15 Mar, 16:30
Freiburg
01 Full time
Union Berlin
Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 23%
Away 23%

💡 Freiburg are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1434 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index WLWLD v DLWLL Freiburg 1.4 · Union Berlin 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Freiburg v Union Berlin

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Why we predict this

  • Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1434).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Freiburg
Home advantage
Freiburg

Green = favours Freiburg · Blue = favours Union Berlin. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FreiburgWLWLD1.4 ppg
Union BerlinDLWLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Freiburg1491
Union Berlin1434
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 24% · 17%
Power Rating56% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning61% · 19% · 20%

AI match preview

Freiburg holds a 54% chance of securing a home victory against Union Berlin, with the model projecting nearly double the expected goals for Freiburg (1.96) compared to Union Berlin (0.98). Despite this, a 1-1 draw is considered the most likely scoreline, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest. Over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring are slightly favored outcomes, but all projections come with inherent uncertainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Europa-Park Stadion Freiburg, Germany Capacity 34,700 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin
Nov 2025 Union Berlin 0–0 Freiburg