Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 14:30
Wolfsburg
01 Full time
Werder Bremen
Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 25%
Away 34%

💡 Wolfsburg have a slight edge — leaning Wolfsburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1421 Werder Bremen rated higher
Form Index DLLLD v LLWWL Wolfsburg 0.4 · Werder Bremen 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Wolfsburg v Werder Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1410 vs 1421).
  • Werder Bremen is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Werder Bremen
Form Index
Werder Bremen
Goal expectation
Werder Bremen
Home advantage
Wolfsburg

Green = favours Wolfsburg · Blue = favours Werder Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WolfsburgDLLLD0.4 ppg
Werder BremenLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Wolfsburg1410
Werder Bremen1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 25% · 39%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 22% · 31%

AI match preview

Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving Wolfsburg a slight edge at 41% to claim victory, while a draw or an away win remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 67% probability for BTTS and a predicted tight scoreline of 1-1, supported by nearly balanced expected goals (1.64 for Wolfsburg, 1.72 for Bremen). With a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match could offer plenty of attacking action, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.72

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Volkswagen Arena Wolfsburg, Germany Capacity 28,917 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Wolfsburg 0–1 Werder Bremen
Nov 2025 Werder Bremen 2–1 Wolfsburg