Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 17:30
Dortmund
32 Full time
Hamburg
Dortmund 3–2 Hamburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 16%
Away 12%

💡 Dortmund are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1647 v 1470 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1647 vs 1470).
  • Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Dortmund

Green = favours Dortmund · Blue = favours Hamburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DortmundWDLWW2.0 ppg
HamburgDLLWD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Dortmund1647
Hamburg1470
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 20% · 8%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning88% · 6% · 6%

AI match preview

Dortmund enters this Bundesliga clash with a strong 72% probability of securing a home win against Hamburg, backed by a high confidence level of 87 out of 100. The model projects Dortmund to score around 2.12 goals while limiting Hamburg to just 0.59, making a 2-0 victory the most likely outcome. While there's a moderate 51% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals, both teams scoring is less probable at 40%; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.12 – 0.59

Most likely score

2-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Dortmund 3–2 Hamburg
Nov 2025 Hamburg 1–1 Dortmund