Hamburg vs Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 4 Apr, 15:30
Hamburg
11 Full time
Augsburg
Hamburg 1–1 Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 25%
Away 30%

💡 Hamburg have a slight edge — leaning Hamburg, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1465 v 1449 Hamburg rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hamburg v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1449).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hamburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Hamburg
Home advantage
Hamburg

Green = favours Hamburg · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HamburgLLWDL0.8 ppg
AugsburgWWLLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Hamburg1465
Augsburg1449
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning47% · 22% · 31%

AI match preview

Hamburg host Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory, while Augsburg have a 30% chance to claim an away win. The model projects a competitive encounter with an expected 1.66 goals for Hamburg and 1.00 for Augsburg, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the home win pick. There's also a balanced possibility for over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%), highlighting an open game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Hamburg 1–1 Augsburg
Nov 2025 Augsburg 1–0 Hamburg