Stuttgart vs Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 4 Apr, 18:30
Stuttgart
02 Full time
Dortmund
Stuttgart 0–2 Dortmund

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 27%
Away 35%

💡 Stuttgart have a slight edge — leaning Stuttgart, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1608 v 1651 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 2.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1651 vs 1608).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartDWDWW2.2 ppg
DortmundDLWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1608
Dortmund1651
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 30% · 37%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning35% · 34% · 31%

AI match preview

Stuttgart and Dortmund are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38%, while a draw and away win are also well within reach at 27% and 35% respectively. Expected goals are balanced between the teams, suggesting a tight match likely to produce around 1-1, with just over half of games seeing both teams score. Given the probabilities, this encounter offers no certainties, so please remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Stuttgart 0–2 Dortmund
Nov 2025 Dortmund 3–3 Stuttgart