Dortmund vs Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 15:30
Dortmund
01 Full time
Leverkusen
Dortmund 0–1 Leverkusen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 20%
Away 25%

💡 Dortmund are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1669 v 1566 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Dortmund v Leverkusen

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1669 vs 1566).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Dortmund

Green = favours Dortmund · Blue = favours Leverkusen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DortmundLWWWW2.4 ppg
LeverkusenWDDDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Dortmund1669
Leverkusen1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 22% · 20%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning69% · 14% · 17%

AI match preview

Dortmund holds a 55% probability of securing a home victory against Leverkusen, with an expected goal tally favoring the hosts at 2.20 to 1.26. Despite the home win edge, the model highlights a 20% chance of a draw, with the most probable scoreline being 1-1, reflecting a closely contested match. With a 67% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, this encounter promises attacking action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Dortmund 0–1 Leverkusen
Nov 2025 Leverkusen 1–2 Dortmund