FC Koln vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 15:30
FC Koln
31 Full time
Werder Bremen
FC Koln 3–1 Werder Bremen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 25%
Away 31%

💡 FC Koln have a slight edge — leaning FC Koln, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1432 v 1425 FC Koln rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on FC Koln v Werder Bremen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1432 vs 1425).
  • Werder Bremen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Werder Bremen
Goal expectation
FC Koln
Home advantage
FC Koln

Green = favours FC Koln · Blue = favours Werder Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FC KolnLLDDD0.6 ppg
Werder BremenWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
FC Koln1432
Werder Bremen1425
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 26% · 29%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning51% · 18% · 31%

AI match preview

FC Koln hosts Werder Bremen in a Bundesliga clash where the home side holds a 45% chance of victory, closely contested by Bremen's 31% likelihood to win. The model suggests a tight encounter with an expected goals tally of 1.75 for Koln and 1.37 for Bremen, most likely ending in a 1-1 draw. With a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams scoring, this match promises attacking action; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 63%

No 37%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 FC Koln 3–1 Werder Bremen
Nov 2025 Werder Bremen 1–1 FC Koln