Stuttgart vs Hamburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 17:30
Stuttgart
40 Full time
Hamburg
Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (71%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 71%
Draw 16%
Away 13%

💡 Stuttgart are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 86.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 86.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1591 v 1463 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 2.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Hamburg

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Why we predict this

  • Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1591 vs 1463).
  • Stuttgart is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Hamburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartWDWWL2.0 ppg
HamburgLWDLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1591
Hamburg1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 28% · 15%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning82% · 10% · 8%

AI match preview

Stuttgart enter this Bundesliga clash with a strong 71% probability of securing a home win against Hamburg, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.62 to 0.71. The model suggests a tight contest, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome, while the chances of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring remain below 50%. These projections offer a statistical perspective on the match, but remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 0.71

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburg
Nov 2025 Hamburg 2–1 Stuttgart