St Pauli vs FC Koln Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Fri 17 Apr, 20:30
St Pauli
11 Full time
FC Koln
St Pauli 1–1 FC Koln

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 28%
Away 38%

💡 FC Koln have a slight edge — leaning FC Koln, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1405 v 1446 FC Koln rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on St Pauli v FC Koln

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Why we predict this

  • FC Koln is the stronger side on Power Rating (1446 vs 1405).
  • FC Koln is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
FC Koln
Form Index
FC Koln
Goal expectation
FC Koln
Home advantage
St Pauli

Green = favours St Pauli · Blue = favours FC Koln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St PauliDLLDL0.4 ppg
FC KolnLDDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
St Pauli1405
FC Koln1446
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 30% · 40%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning31% · 27% · 43%

AI match preview

St Pauli host FC Köln in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 38%, though a draw remains a strong possibility. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.15 for St Pauli and 1.36 for Köln, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1. With just a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability of both teams scoring, this match could be a closely fought encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 St Pauli 1–1 FC Koln
Dec 2025 FC Koln 1–1 St Pauli