Hoffenheim vs Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 18 Apr, 15:30
Hoffenheim
21 Full time
Dortmund
Hoffenheim 2–1 Dortmund

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 26%
Away 38%

💡 Dortmund have a slight edge — leaning Dortmund, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1555 v 1653 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 1.0 v 2.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1653 vs 1555).
  • Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Hoffenheim

Green = favours Hoffenheim · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HoffenheimWDLLD1.0 ppg
DortmundWWWWL2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hoffenheim1555
Dortmund1653
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 27% · 42%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning24% · 28% · 47%

AI match preview

Hoffenheim and Dortmund are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 38% confidence. Both teams are expected to find the net, reflected in a 61% probability for BTTS and a most likely scoreline of 1-1, while the combined expected goals suggest a moderately open game. Over 2.5 goals is also a possibility at 57%, indicating potential for an entertaining encounter. Remember, these projections are based on statistical models—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.60

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 61%

No 39%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Hoffenheim 2–1 Dortmund
Dec 2025 Dortmund 2–0 Hoffenheim