Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 18 Apr, 15:30
Union Berlin
12 Full time
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin 1–2 Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 24%
Away 28%

💡 Union Berlin are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1379 Union Berlin rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Wolfsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Union Berlin is the stronger side on Power Rating (1423 vs 1379).
  • Union Berlin is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Union Berlin
Form Index
Union Berlin
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLWLDL0.8 ppg
WolfsburgLDLLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1423
Wolfsburg1379
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 25% · 28%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning53% · 24% · 24%

AI match preview

Union Berlin host Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 48%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible with probabilities of 24% and 28%, respectively. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with 1.88 for Union Berlin and 1.41 for Wolfsburg, aligning with the most likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an engaging contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Union Berlin 1–2 Wolfsburg
Dec 2025 Wolfsburg 3–1 Union Berlin