Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 18 Apr, 15:30
Werder Bremen
31 Full time
Hamburg
Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 27%
Away 27%

💡 Werder Bremen are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1412 v 1453 Hamburg rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.0 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Werder Bremen v Hamburg

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Why we predict this

  • Hamburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1453 vs 1412).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hamburg
Form Index
Werder Bremen
Goal expectation
Werder Bremen
Home advantage
Werder Bremen

Green = favours Werder Bremen · Blue = favours Hamburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Werder BremenWLWLL1.2 ppg
HamburgWDLDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Werder Bremen1412
Hamburg1453
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 31% · 29%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning36% · 32% · 32%

AI match preview

Werder Bremen host Hamburg in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 46%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible with 27% each. The expected goals are close, 1.29 for Bremen and 1.07 for Hamburg, suggesting a tight contest, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. With a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 49%, this match could see both teams finding the net, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.07

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburg
Dec 2025 Hamburg 3–2 Werder Bremen