Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 15:30
Stuttgart
11 Full time
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 18%
Away 16%

💡 Stuttgart are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 80.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 80.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1593 v 1428 Stuttgart rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Werder Bremen

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Stuttgart is the stronger side on Power Rating (1593 vs 1428).
  • Stuttgart is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stuttgart
Form Index
Stuttgart
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Werder Bremen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartWWLWL1.8 ppg
Werder BremenLWLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1593
Werder Bremen1428
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 26% · 16%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning87% · 6% · 7%

AI match preview

Stuttgart enters this Bundesliga clash with a strong 67% probability of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.78 to 0.83 over Werder Bremen. Despite this, the model suggests a closely contested match, with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw and both teams scoring in 48% of simulations. While Stuttgart is favored, outcomes remain uncertain, so fans should consider these statistical projections carefully and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.83

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass
Clear · 19.6°C
Feels like 17.3°C Wind 10 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen
Dec 2025 Werder Bremen 0–4 Stuttgart