Dortmund vs Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 26 Apr, 17:30
Dortmund
40 Full time
Freiburg
Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (69%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 69%
Draw 16%
Away 14%

💡 Dortmund are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 84.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 84.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1641 v 1501 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Dortmund v Freiburg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1641 vs 1501).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Dortmund

Green = favours Dortmund · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
DortmundWWWLL1.8 ppg
FreiburgLWLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Dortmund1641
Freiburg1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 20% · 11%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning80% · 8% · 12%

AI match preview

Dortmund enter this Bundesliga clash with a strong 69% probability of securing a home win against Freiburg, backed by a high confidence rating of 84/100. The model anticipates a 2-0 victory, reflecting an expected goals advantage of 2.25 to 0.79, while the chance of over 2.5 goals stands at 59%. These projections highlight Dortmund’s favored position, but as with all statistical forecasts, outcomes can vary—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.79

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 59%

Under 41%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Dortmund 4–0 Freiburg
Dec 2025 Freiburg 1–1 Dortmund