Union Berlin vs FC Koln Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 15:30
Union Berlin
22 Full time
FC Koln
Union Berlin 2–2 FC Koln

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 27%
Away 36%

💡 Union Berlin have a slight edge — leaning Union Berlin, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1403 v 1437 FC Koln rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v FC Koln

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1403 vs 1437).
  • FC Koln is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
FC Koln
Form Index
FC Koln
Goal expectation
Union Berlin
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours FC Koln. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLDLLL0.2 ppg
FC KolnDDWDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1403
FC Koln1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning34% · 24% · 42%

AI match preview

Union Berlin and FC Köln are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37%, compared to 36% for the visitors. Both teams are expected to produce a tight game with an anticipated 1-1 scoreline, supported by a 55% probability of both teams scoring and just under a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered with caution—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass
Clear · 25.5°C
Feels like 23.2°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Union Berlin 2–2 FC Koln
Dec 2025 FC Koln 0–1 Union Berlin