Werder Bremen vs Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 2 May, 15:30
Werder Bremen
13 Full time
Augsburg
Werder Bremen 1–3 Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 27%
Away 30%

💡 Werder Bremen have a slight edge — leaning Werder Bremen, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1434 v 1468 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Werder Bremen v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1434 vs 1468).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Werder Bremen
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Werder Bremen

Green = favours Werder Bremen · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Werder BremenWLLWD1.4 ppg
AugsburgLDDWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Werder Bremen1434
Augsburg1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning36% · 33% · 31%

AI match preview

Werder Bremen and Augsburg are projected to produce a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with a slight edge to the home side at 43% probability for a win, while a draw and away victory stand at 27% and 30% respectively. Both teams are expected to score, reflected in a 57% chance of BTTS, with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw despite the home win preference. The model also suggests an almost even chance for over 2.5 goals at 51%, highlighting a match that could see goals but remains finely balanced—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass
Overcast · 26.4°C
Feels like 23.4°C Wind 17 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Werder Bremen 1–3 Augsburg
Dec 2025 Augsburg 0–0 Werder Bremen