M'gladbach vs Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 17:30
M'gladbach
10 Full time
Dortmund
M'gladbach 1–0 Dortmund

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 25%
Away 53%

💡 Dortmund are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1651 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.8 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on M'gladbach v Dortmund

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1651 vs 1444).
  • Dortmund is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
M'gladbach

Green = favours M'gladbach · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
M'gladbachDDLDD0.8 ppg
DortmundWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
M'gladbach1444
Dortmund1651
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model16% · 24% · 59%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 59%
Machine-learning7% · 42% · 51%

AI match preview

Borussia Dortmund enter their Bundesliga clash at M'gladbach as clear favorites with a 53% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw holds a 25% probability. The expected goals suggest Dortmund could edge the game offensively (1.94 to 0.94), yet the most likely score remains a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.94

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 M'gladbach 1–0 Dortmund
Dec 2025 Dortmund 2–0 M'gladbach