Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 19:30
Freiburg
11 Full time
Wolfsburg
Freiburg 1–1 Wolfsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 21%
Away 24%

💡 Freiburg are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1491 v 1393 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Freiburg v Wolfsburg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1491 vs 1393).
  • Freiburg is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Freiburg
Home advantage
Freiburg

Green = favours Freiburg · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FreiburgWLWWL1.8 ppg
WolfsburgLLLWD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Freiburg1491
Wolfsburg1393
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 21% · 18%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning67% · 16% · 17%

AI match preview

Freiburg enters this Bundesliga clash with a 55% chance to secure a home win against Wolfsburg, backed by a model confidence rating of 63/100. The expected goals tally suggests an exciting encounter, with Freiburg projected to score 2.35 and Wolfsburg 1.26, making a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With a 70% probability for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, this match promises attacking action—but remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.26

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 66%

No 34%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

Europa-Park Stadion Freiburg, Germany Capacity 34,700 · grass
Overcast · 17.5°C
Feels like 14.4°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 5%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Freiburg 1–1 Wolfsburg
Dec 2025 Wolfsburg 3–4 Freiburg