Augsburg vs M'gladbach Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 9 May, 15:30
Augsburg
31 Full time
M'gladbach
Augsburg 3–1 M'gladbach

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 24%
Away 28%

💡 Augsburg are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1486 v 1460 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Augsburg v M'gladbach

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1486 vs 1460).
  • Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Augsburg
Home advantage
Augsburg

Green = favours Augsburg · Blue = favours M'gladbach. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AugsburgDDWDW1.8 ppg
M'gladbachDLDDW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Augsburg1486
M'gladbach1460
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 30% · 34%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning55% · 24% · 21%

AI match preview

Augsburg and M'gladbach are set for a closely contested Bundesliga clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Augsburg at 48% probability for a home win. Both teams are expected to score, reflected in a 55% chance of BTTS and a predicted 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. With nearly even expected goals and a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match promises a balanced yet competitive encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

WWK Arena Augsburg, Germany Capacity 30,660 · grass
Partly cloudy · 21.5°C
Feels like 18.8°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 10%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Augsburg 3–1 M'gladbach
Jan 2026 M'gladbach 4–0 Augsburg