Stuttgart vs Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 9 May, 15:30
Stuttgart
31 Full time
Leverkusen
Stuttgart 3–1 Leverkusen

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 23%
Away 31%

💡 Stuttgart are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1592 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Stuttgart v Leverkusen

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1588 vs 1592).
  • Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Stuttgart
Home advantage
Stuttgart

Green = favours Stuttgart · Blue = favours Leverkusen. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StuttgartLWLDD1 ppg
LeverkusenWWLWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stuttgart1588
Leverkusen1592
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 28% · 29%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 32%
Machine-learning46% · 18% · 37%

AI match preview

Stuttgart hosts Leverkusen in a Bundesliga clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 46%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 23% chance. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally of 1.54 for Stuttgart and 1.23 for Leverkusen, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%, this match promises competitive action; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.23

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

MHPArena Stuttgart, Germany Capacity 60,449 · grass
Mainly clear · 23°C
Feels like 22°C Wind 8 km/h Rain chance 8%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Stuttgart 3–1 Leverkusen
Jan 2026 Leverkusen 1–4 Stuttgart