Hamburg vs Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 15:30
Hamburg
32 Full time
Freiburg
Hamburg 3–2 Freiburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 26%
Away 37%

💡 Freiburg have a slight edge — leaning Freiburg, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1443 v 1486 Freiburg rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hamburg v Freiburg

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Freiburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1486 vs 1443).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Freiburg
Form Index
Freiburg
Goal expectation
Hamburg
Home advantage
Hamburg

Green = favours Hamburg · Blue = favours Freiburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HamburgDLLLW0.8 ppg
FreiburgLWWLD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Hamburg1443
Freiburg1486
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning31% · 27% · 42%

AI match preview

Hamburg and Freiburg head into this Bundesliga clash with a nearly even split in predicted outcomes, as the model gives Freiburg a slight edge at 37% to claim victory, while Hamburg sits at 36%, and a draw is projected at 26%. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with Hamburg favored to score 1.60 goals and Freiburg 0.95, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 50% chance of both teams scoring and a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals, this match could offer some attacking moments, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Hamburg 3–2 Freiburg
Jan 2026 Freiburg 2–1 Hamburg