Heidenheim vs Mainz Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 15:30
Heidenheim
02 Full time
Mainz
Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 28%
Away 32%

💡 Heidenheim have a slight edge — leaning Heidenheim, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1409 v 1478 Mainz rated higher
Form Index 2 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Mainz is the stronger side on Power Rating (1478 vs 1409).
  • Heidenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Mainz
Form Index
Heidenheim
Goal expectation
Mainz
Home advantage
Heidenheim

Green = favours Heidenheim · Blue = favours Mainz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HeidenheimWLWDW2 ppg
MainzLDLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Heidenheim1409
Mainz1478
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 25% · 47%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning28% · 46% · 26%

AI match preview

Heidenheim hosts Mainz in a Bundesliga clash where the model gives a slight edge to the home side with a 40% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain well within reach. The expected goals suggest a competitive encounter, with 1.47 for Heidenheim and 1.90 for Mainz, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most likely scoreline. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities above 65%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.90

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 67%

No 33%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Heidenheim 0–2 Mainz
Jan 2026 Mainz 2–1 Heidenheim