Leverkusen vs Hamburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 15:30
Leverkusen
11 Full time
Hamburg
Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 14%
Away 13%

💡 Leverkusen are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1579 v 1454 Leverkusen rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leverkusen v Hamburg

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Why we predict this

  • Leverkusen is the stronger side on Power Rating (1579 vs 1454).
  • Leverkusen is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leverkusen
Form Index
Leverkusen
Goal expectation
Leverkusen
Home advantage
Leverkusen

Green = favours Leverkusen · Blue = favours Hamburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeverkusenWLWWL1.8 ppg
HamburgLLLWW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Leverkusen1579
Hamburg1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 18% · 9%
Power Rating66% · 12% · 22%
Machine-learning80% · 9% · 11%

AI match preview

Leverkusen enter this Bundesliga clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win against Hamburg, supported by an expected goals tally of 2.40 to 0.78 favoring the hosts. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a 62% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and an even 50% probability that both teams will score. These projections offer insight into potential scenarios but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.40 – 0.78

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburg
Mar 2026 Hamburg 0–1 Leverkusen