M'gladbach vs Hoffenheim Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 15:30
M'gladbach
40 Full time
Hoffenheim
M'gladbach 4–0 Hoffenheim

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 23%
Draw 24%
Away 54%

💡 Hoffenheim are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1579 Hoffenheim rated higher
Form Index 1 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Hoffenheim is the stronger side on Power Rating (1579 vs 1447).
  • Hoffenheim is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hoffenheim
Form Index
Hoffenheim
Goal expectation
Hoffenheim
Home advantage
M'gladbach

Green = favours M'gladbach · Blue = favours Hoffenheim. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
M'gladbachLDDWL1 ppg
HoffenheimDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
M'gladbach1447
Hoffenheim1579
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 25% · 50%
Power Rating32% · 21% · 47%
Machine-learning14% · 34% · 52%

AI match preview

In this Bundesliga clash, Hoffenheim are favored with a 54% chance to claim victory, while M'gladbach hold a 23% chance and the draw stands at 24%. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.28 for the home side and 1.85 for the visitors, with a 1-1 draw emerging as the most likely scoreline despite Hoffenheim's edge. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score each above 60%, fans can anticipate an open and competitive match. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 61%

Under 39%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 M'gladbach 4–0 Hoffenheim
Jan 2026 Hoffenheim 5–1 M'gladbach