St Pauli vs Wolfsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 15:30
St Pauli
13 Full time
Wolfsburg
St Pauli 1–3 Wolfsburg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 26%
Away 37%

💡 Wolfsburg have a slight edge — leaning Wolfsburg, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1375 v 1394 Wolfsburg rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1375 vs 1394).
  • Wolfsburg is in clearly better recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wolfsburg
Form Index
Wolfsburg
Goal expectation
Wolfsburg
Home advantage
St Pauli

Green = favours St Pauli · Blue = favours Wolfsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
St PauliLDLLL0.2 ppg
WolfsburgLWDDL1 ppg
Power Rating
St Pauli1375
Wolfsburg1394
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 28% · 41%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning37% · 25% · 38%

AI match preview

St Pauli and Wolfsburg are set for a closely contested Bundesliga encounter, with both sides sharing an equal 37% chance of victory according to the model. The expected goals suggest a tight game with a slight edge to Wolfsburg, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a balanced matchup. Fans can anticipate a potentially open game, with a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance both teams will score; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.56

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 St Pauli 1–3 Wolfsburg
Jan 2026 Wolfsburg 2–1 St Pauli