Union Berlin vs Augsburg Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 15:30
Union Berlin
40 Full time
Augsburg
Union Berlin 4–0 Augsburg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 25%
Away 39%

💡 Augsburg have a slight edge — leaning Augsburg, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1499 Augsburg rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Union Berlin v Augsburg

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Why we predict this

  • Augsburg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1499 vs 1425).
  • Augsburg is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Augsburg
Form Index
Augsburg
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Union Berlin

Green = favours Union Berlin · Blue = favours Augsburg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Union BerlinLLLDW0.8 ppg
AugsburgDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Union Berlin1425
Augsburg1499
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 28% · 35%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning28% · 27% · 46%

AI match preview

Union Berlin and Augsburg head into this Bundesliga clash with the model slightly favoring an Augsburg win at 39%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a projected 1-1 scoreline. Both sides are expected to be evenly matched offensively, with expected goals of 1.46 for Union Berlin and 1.40 for Augsburg, supporting the likelihood of goals from both teams in a contest with a 59% chance of BTTS. Over 2.5 goals is also moderately probable at 55%, suggesting an open game with opportunities at both ends, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadion An der Alten Forsterei Berlin, Germany Capacity 22,012 · grass
Light showers · 13.6°C
Feels like 10.3°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Union Berlin 4–0 Augsburg
Jan 2026 Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin