Werder Bremen vs Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga 25/26 · Sat 16 May, 15:30
Werder Bremen
02 Full time
Dortmund
Werder Bremen 0–2 Dortmund

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 26%
Away 52%

💡 Dortmund are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1411 v 1640 Dortmund rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Werder Bremen v Dortmund

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Why we predict this

  • Dortmund is the stronger side on Power Rating (1640 vs 1411).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Dortmund
Form Index
Dortmund
Goal expectation
Dortmund
Home advantage
Werder Bremen

Green = favours Werder Bremen · Blue = favours Dortmund. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Werder BremenLWDLL0.8 ppg
DortmundLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Werder Bremen1411
Dortmund1640
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 23% · 63%
Power Rating25% · 12% · 63%
Machine-learning6% · 50% · 45%

AI match preview

Werder Bremen host Dortmund in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of winning, according to model projections, with a 26% probability of a draw. Dortmund are expected to score around two goals compared to Bremen's less than one, making a 0-2 scoreline the most likely outcome. With just over half the simulations favoring both teams to score and total goals exceeding 2.5, this match could see some attacking action; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 2.06

Most likely score

0-2

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Weserstadion Bremen, Germany Capacity 42,100 · grass
Light showers · 11.8°C
Feels like 7.7°C Wind 19 km/h Rain chance 35%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Werder Bremen 0–2 Dortmund
Jan 2026 Dortmund 3–0 Werder Bremen