Bournemouth vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 21 Jan, 15:00
Bournemouth
11 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Bournemouth 1–1 Nott'm Forest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 33%

💡 Bournemouth have a slight edge — leaning Bournemouth, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1404 v 1451 Nott'm Forest rated higher
Form Index WLLLL v WLDWW Bournemouth 0.6 · Nott'm Forest 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Nott'm Forest

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Nott'm Forest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1451 vs 1404).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nott'm Forest
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Bournemouth
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthWLLLL0.6 ppg
Nott'm ForestWLDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1404
Nott'm Forest1451
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model65% · 26% · 9%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning27% · 30% · 43%

AI match preview

Bournemouth hold a slight advantage with a 39% chance to secure a home win against Nottingham Forest, supported by an expected goals tally favoring the hosts at 1.59 to 0.43. The model suggests a tight contest with a 29% probability of a draw and a low likelihood of both teams scoring, reflected in the 29% BTTS figure. Most projections point to a narrow 1-0 victory for Bournemouth, but as always, these are statistical probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.59 – 0.43

Most likely score

1-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Bournemouth 1–1 Nott'm Forest
Sept 2022 Nott'm Forest 2–3 Bournemouth