Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 21 Jan, 17:30
Crystal Palace
00 Full time
Newcastle
Crystal Palace 0–0 Newcastle

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (56%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 23%
Away 56%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1618 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index LWLLD v WWDDW Crystal Palace 0.8 · Newcastle 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Crystal Palace v Newcastle

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1618 vs 1454).
  • Newcastle is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Crystal Palace

Green = favours Crystal Palace · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Crystal PalaceLWLLD0.8 ppg
NewcastleWWDDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Crystal Palace1454
Newcastle1618
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 23% · 67%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning19% · 20% · 61%

AI match preview

Crystal Palace host Newcastle in a Premier League clash where the model favors an away win with a 56% probability, reflecting Newcastle's stronger expected goals of 1.97 compared to Palace's 0.68. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, suggesting Newcastle could secure a solid victory, though a draw remains slightly more probable than a home win. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not necessarily scoring, this match could be tighter than the odds imply—remember, these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.68 – 1.97

Most likely score

0-2

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Selhurst Park London, England Capacity 25,486 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Crystal Palace 0–0 Newcastle
Sept 2022 Newcastle 0–0 Crystal Palace