Leeds vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 22 Jan, 14:00
Leeds
00 Full time
Brentford
Leeds 0–0 Brentford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 26%
Away 37%

💡 Brentford have a slight edge — leaning Brentford, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1447 v 1536 Brentford rated higher
Form Index LLDDL v WDWWW Leeds 0.4 · Brentford 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leeds v Brentford

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Why we predict this

  • Brentford is the stronger side on Power Rating (1536 vs 1447).
  • Brentford is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brentford
Form Index
Brentford
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Brentford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsLLDDL0.4 ppg
BrentfordWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1447
Brentford1536
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 24% · 31%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning21% · 24% · 55%

AI match preview

Leeds and Brentford are set for a tightly contested Premier League clash, with both sides carrying an equal 37% chance of victory according to the model. The match is projected to be competitive, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a strong probability (70%) of both teams finding the net. Additionally, there's a 69% chance the game will see over 2.5 goals, suggesting an open and attacking encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 1.61

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2023 Leeds 0–0 Brentford
Sept 2022 Brentford 5–2 Leeds