Chelsea vs Fulham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Fri 3 Feb, 20:00
Chelsea
00 Full time
Fulham
Chelsea 0–0 Fulham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 22%
Away 25%

💡 Chelsea are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1509 v 1512 Fulham rated higher
Form Index DLLWD v WWWLL Chelsea 1.0 · Fulham 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Chelsea v Fulham

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1509 vs 1512).
  • Fulham is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Fulham
Goal expectation
Chelsea
Home advantage
Chelsea

Green = favours Chelsea · Blue = favours Fulham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ChelseaDLLWD1.0 ppg
FulhamWWWLL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Chelsea1509
Fulham1512
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 31% · 26%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning47% · 12% · 42%

AI match preview

Chelsea hold a slight statistical edge with a 53% chance of victory against Fulham, though the model also highlights a 22% probability of a draw and a 25% chance for an away win. Expected goals suggest a close contest, with Chelsea projected to score 1.34 goals and Fulham 1.00, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring just under half the time, this match promises a tight battle; please remember these projections are probabilistic and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stamford Bridge London, England Capacity 40,173 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Chelsea 0–0 Fulham
Jan 2023 Fulham 2–1 Chelsea