Aston Villa vs Leicester Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 15:00
Aston Villa
24 Full time
Leicester
Aston Villa 2–4 Leicester

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 23%
Away 26%

💡 Aston Villa are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1504 v 1455 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index LWDWW v LLLLD Aston Villa 2.0 · Leicester 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Aston Villa v Leicester

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1504 vs 1455).
  • Aston Villa is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Aston Villa

Green = favours Aston Villa · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Aston VillaLWDWW2.0 ppg
LeicesterLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Aston Villa1504
Leicester1455
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 24% · 28%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning67% · 14% · 20%

AI match preview

Aston Villa are favored to edge Leicester with a 51% chance of victory, though the model also highlights a notable 23% probability of a draw. Expected goals suggest a competitive match with 2.04 for Villa and 1.52 for Leicester, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate. With a 69% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this game promises attacking action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.52

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Villa Park Birmingham, England Capacity 42,657 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Leicester 1–2 Aston Villa
Feb 2023 Aston Villa 2–4 Leicester