Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 4 Feb, 17:30
Newcastle
11 Full time
West Ham
Newcastle 1–1 West Ham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (66%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 66%
Draw 20%
Away 14%

💡 Newcastle are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 79.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 79.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1615 v 1432 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index WDDWD v LLDLW Newcastle 1.8 · West Ham 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v West Ham

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1615 vs 1432).
  • Newcastle is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours West Ham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleWDDWD1.8 ppg
West HamLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1615
West Ham1432
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 28% · 9%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning90% · 6% · 3%

AI match preview

Newcastle enters this Premier League clash as clear favorites with a 66% chance of securing a home win, supported by a strong 79/100 confidence rating from the model. The expected goals tally suggests a tight game, with Newcastle likely to edge it 1-0 over West Ham, while the probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain relatively low at 30% and 27%, respectively. These projections are based on statistical analysis and should be considered as part of a broader view—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.41

Most likely score

1-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 27%

No 73%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 West Ham 1–5 Newcastle
Feb 2023 Newcastle 1–1 West Ham