Nott'm Forest vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 5 Feb, 14:00
Nott'm Forest
10 Full time
Leeds
Nott'm Forest 1–0 Leeds

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 26%
Away 33%

💡 Nott'm Forest have a slight edge — leaning Nott'm Forest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1448 Nott'm Forest rated higher
Form Index LDWWD v LDDLD Nott'm Forest 1.6 · Leeds 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Leeds

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1451 vs 1448).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Nott'm Forest
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLDWWD1.6 ppg
LeedsLDDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1451
Leeds1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 27% · 27%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning46% · 23% · 31%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest are slightly favored at 41% to edge out Leeds, who hold a 33% chance, with a 26% probability of the match ending in a draw. The model projects a tight contest with expected goals of 1.70 for Forest and 1.25 for Leeds, suggesting a likely 1-1 scoreline. With a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% probability of both teams scoring, this game promises attacking action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.25

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2023 Leeds 2–1 Nott'm Forest
Feb 2023 Nott'm Forest 1–0 Leeds