West Ham vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 11 Feb, 12:30
West Ham
11 Full time
Chelsea
West Ham 1–1 Chelsea

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Chelsea have a slight edge — leaning Chelsea, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1507 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index LDLWD v LLWDD West Ham 1.0 · Chelsea 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on West Ham v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Chelsea is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1438).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Chelsea
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
West Ham
Home advantage
West Ham

Green = favours West Ham · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West HamLDLWD1.0 ppg
ChelseaLLWDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
West Ham1438
Chelsea1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 35% · 30%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning35% · 22% · 43%

AI match preview

West Ham host Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 40%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 28%. Despite Chelsea's edge, the expected goals suggest a tight contest, with a 0-0 scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome. With only a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, this game could be a cautious affair—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 0.92

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

London Stadium London, England Capacity 62,500 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 West Ham 1–1 Chelsea
Sept 2022 Chelsea 2–1 West Ham