Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 11 Feb, 15:00
Arsenal
11 Full time
Brentford
Arsenal 1–1 Brentford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 19%
Away 16%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1651 v 1544 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v WWWDW Arsenal 2.0 · Brentford 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Arsenal v Brentford

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1651 vs 1544).
  • Brentford is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Brentford
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Arsenal

Green = favours Arsenal · Blue = favours Brentford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ArsenalWDWWL2.0 ppg
BrentfordWWWDW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Arsenal1651
Brentford1544
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model70% · 17% · 13%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning67% · 20% · 13%

AI match preview

Arsenal enter this Premier League clash with a strong 65% chance of securing a home win against Brentford, backed by a confidence rating of 77/100. The model forecasts an expected goal tally of 2.75 for Arsenal and 1.16 for Brentford, suggesting a competitive 2-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome. With a 75% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.75 – 1.16

Most likely score

2-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 75%

Under 25%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Emirates Stadium London, England Capacity 60,704 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Arsenal 1–1 Brentford
Sept 2022 Brentford 0–3 Arsenal