Bournemouth vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 11 Feb, 17:30
Bournemouth
11 Full time
Newcastle
Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (59%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 25%
Away 59%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1398 v 1608 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index LLLDL v DDWDD Bournemouth 0.2 · Newcastle 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Newcastle

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1608 vs 1398).
  • Newcastle is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthLLLDL0.2 ppg
NewcastleDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1398
Newcastle1608
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model14% · 31% · 55%
Power Rating26% · 14% · 60%
Machine-learning9% · 32% · 59%

AI match preview

Newcastle enter their Premier League clash at Bournemouth as clear favorites with a 59% chance of victory, according to model projections. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Newcastle predicted to edge a 1-0 win in a game likely to feature under 2.5 goals and a low probability of both teams scoring. These statistical insights highlight probabilities rather than certainties—please enjoy responsibly and gamble only if 18+.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.58 – 1.38

Most likely score

0-1

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle
Sept 2022 Newcastle 1–1 Bournemouth