Brighton vs Fulham Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 15:00
Brighton
01 Full time
Fulham
Brighton 0–1 Fulham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 58%
Draw 21%
Away 20%

💡 Brighton are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1551 v 1525 Brighton rated higher
Form Index WWDWD v WLLDW Brighton 2.2 · Fulham 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brighton v Fulham

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1551 vs 1525).
  • Brighton is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Brighton
Goal expectation
Brighton
Home advantage
Brighton

Green = favours Brighton · Blue = favours Fulham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrightonWWDWD2.2 ppg
FulhamWLLDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Brighton1551
Fulham1525
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 30% · 28%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning70% · 14% · 16%

AI match preview

Brighton holds a 58% chance of securing a home win against Fulham, with the model projecting a closely contested match reflected in an expected goals tally of 1.41 to 1.12. Despite Brighton's slight edge, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, and there is a balanced probability for both teams to score at 52%. With under 2.5 goals favored 54% of the time, this game could hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Amex Stadium Brighton, England Capacity 31,800 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Brighton 0–1 Fulham
Aug 2022 Fulham 2–1 Brighton