Everton vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 15:00
Everton
10 Full time
Leeds
Everton 1–0 Leeds

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 26%
Away 36%

💡 Everton have a slight edge — leaning Everton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1406 v 1431 Leeds rated higher
Form Index LLLWL v LDLDL Everton 0.6 · Leeds 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Leeds

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1406 vs 1431).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leeds
Form Index
Everton
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonLLLWL0.6 ppg
LeedsLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1406
Leeds1431
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model35% · 30% · 35%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning47% · 11% · 42%

AI match preview

Everton and Leeds are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Everton at 38% compared to Leeds' 36%, and a 26% chance of a draw. Both teams are expected to score around 1.27 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most probable outcome, while there’s a moderate 47% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance both sides find the net. These projections highlight the competitive nature of the fixture, but remember, they are statistical estimates and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Everton 1–0 Leeds
Aug 2022 Leeds 1–1 Everton