Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 18 Feb, 17:30
Newcastle
02 Full time
Liverpool
Newcastle 0–2 Liverpool

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 22%
Away 26%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1604 v 1508 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index DWDDD v LLDLW Newcastle 1.4 · Liverpool 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v Liverpool

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1604 vs 1508).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Newcastle
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleDWDDD1.4 ppg
LiverpoolLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1604
Liverpool1508
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 23% · 10%
Power Rating63% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning69% · 13% · 18%

AI match preview

Newcastle enter this Premier League clash with a 52% probability of securing a home victory against Liverpool, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.97 to 0.65. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with under 2.5 goals slightly favored given a 49% chance of more goals and a 42% probability both teams score. These projections offer insight into potential match dynamics, but remember to consider all factors and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.97 – 0.65

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Newcastle 0–2 Liverpool
Aug 2022 Liverpool 2–1 Newcastle