Leicester vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 25 Feb, 15:00
Leicester
01 Full time
Arsenal
Leicester 0–1 Arsenal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (59%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 20%
Draw 21%
Away 59%

💡 Arsenal are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1638 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Leicester v Arsenal

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1638 vs 1485).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Leicester

Green = favours Leicester · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeicesterLDWWL1.4 ppg
ArsenalWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Leicester1485
Arsenal1638
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 25% · 61%
Power Rating31% · 19% · 50%
Machine-learning25% · 17% · 59%

AI match preview

Leicester faces a tough challenge at home against Arsenal, with the model giving the visitors a 59% chance to secure the win, reflecting a solid 69/100 confidence level. Expected goals suggest Arsenal could net nearly twice as many as Leicester (1.87 to 0.83), making a 0-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With a roughly even split on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could offer a balanced mix of tight defense and attacking moments—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.87

Most likely score

0-2

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

King Power Stadium Leicester, England Capacity 32,261 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Leicester 0–1 Arsenal
Aug 2022 Arsenal 4–2 Leicester