Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sun 26 Feb, 13:30
Tottenham
20 Full time
Chelsea
Tottenham 2–0 Chelsea

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Tottenham have a slight edge — leaning Tottenham, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1536 v 1491 Tottenham rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.2 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tottenham v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Tottenham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1536 vs 1491).
  • Tottenham is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Tottenham
Form Index
Tottenham
Goal expectation
Tottenham
Home advantage
Tottenham

Green = favours Tottenham · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TottenhamLWWLW1.8 ppg
ChelseaWDDDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Tottenham1536
Chelsea1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 28% · 21%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning61% · 30% · 9%

AI match preview

Tottenham hosts Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the model gives the home side a 44% chance of victory, slightly ahead of Chelsea’s 29%, with draws at 27%. Expected goals suggest Tottenham’s attack (1.61 xG) could outpace Chelsea’s defense (0.96 xG), though the most probable scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance both teams score, this matchup promises competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium London, England Capacity 62,850 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2023 Tottenham 2–0 Chelsea
Aug 2022 Chelsea 2–2 Tottenham