Who is predicted to win Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

Our AI model predicts Home win (81% probability). The home/draw/away split is 81% / 12% / 7%.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

The most likely scoreline from the SwiftScore model is 3-0 (8%), from projected expected goals of 3.72–0.92.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Bournemouth?

Both teams to score: Yes 59%, No 41%. The chance of over 2.5 goals is 84%.

How confident is SwiftScore in this Arsenal vs Bournemouth prediction?

SwiftScore rates this call 95/100. Every prediction is locked before kick-off and graded against the real result on our public accuracy page.

Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 4 Mar, 15:00

Arsenal

3–2 Full time

Bournemouth

Arsenal 3–2 Bournemouth

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (81%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 81%

Draw 12%

Away 7%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win

SwiftScore High · 95.0/100

🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited

SwiftScore 95.0

/100 confidence

Power Rating 1652 v 1406 Arsenal rated higher

Form Index 2.0 v 1.0 points per game, last 5

Model Consensus 100%

models back the pick

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Why we predict this

Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1652 vs 1406).
Arsenal is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
Home attack projects well against this away defence (3.7 expected goals).
All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating

Arsenal

Form Index

Arsenal

Goal expectation

Arsenal

Home advantage

Arsenal

Green = favours Arsenal · Blue = favours Bournemouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)

ArsenalDLWWW2.0 ppg

BournemouthDLDWL1.0 ppg

Power Rating

Arsenal1652

Bournemouth1406

Model Consensus (home/draw/away)

Goals model86% · 9% · 5%

Power Rating75% · 12% · 13%

Machine-learning88% · 10% · 3%

AI match preview

Arsenal are strong favorites to secure a home win against Bournemouth, with an 81% probability and a high confidence level of 95/100, reflecting their expected dominance in this Premier League clash. The model projects Arsenal to score around 3.72 goals compared to Bournemouth's 0.92, making a 3-0 victory the most likely outcome. With an 84% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match promises attacking action, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

3.72 – 0.92

Most likely score

3-0

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 84%

Under 16%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Emirates Stadium London, England Capacity 60,704 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Arsenal 3–2 Bournemouth

Aug 2022 Bournemouth 0–3 Arsenal