Southampton vs Leicester Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 4 Mar, 17:30
Southampton
10 Full time
Leicester
Southampton 1–0 Leicester

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 24%
Away 44%

💡 Leicester have a slight edge — leaning Leicester, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1387 v 1477 Leicester rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.4 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Leicester

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Why we predict this

  • Leicester is the stronger side on Power Rating (1477 vs 1387).
  • Leicester is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leicester
Form Index
Leicester
Goal expectation
Leicester
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonLLLWL0.6 ppg
LeicesterDWWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1387
Leicester1477
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 21% · 57%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning34% · 11% · 55%

AI match preview

Southampton host Leicester in a Premier League clash where the model favors an away win with a 44% probability, though a draw or home victory remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest an open game with Leicester likely to edge it 2-1, supported by a strong 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 70% probability both teams score. These projections are based on statistical models and should be used responsibly; please gamble only if aged 18 or over.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 2.34

Most likely score

1-2

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 73%

Under 27%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Southampton 1–0 Leicester
Aug 2022 Leicester 1–2 Southampton