Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 22/23 · Sat 11 Mar, 12:30
Bournemouth
10 Full time
Liverpool
Bournemouth 1–0 Liverpool

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (59%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 23%
Away 59%

💡 Liverpool are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1403 v 1565 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.6 points per game, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Liverpool

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Liverpool is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1403).
  • Liverpool is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Liverpool
Goal expectation
Liverpool
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthLDWLL0.8 ppg
LiverpoolWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1403
Liverpool1565
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 31% · 38%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning9% · 30% · 61%

AI match preview

Bournemouth host Liverpool in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a 59% chance of victory, according to statistical models, though a draw remains a plausible 23%. Expected goals are close, with Bournemouth at 1.10 and Liverpool at 1.27, suggesting a tightly contested match possibly ending 1-1. With a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate an engaging game, but remember these projections are probabilistic—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2023 Bournemouth 1–0 Liverpool
Aug 2022 Liverpool 9–0 Bournemouth